Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1380.590614 1516.376322 1655.072795 1807.065309 1968.669865 2135.094642 2319.165226
2025-03-23 1186.336752 1389.120135 1605.286313 1851.743167 2123.816849 2413.895514 2745.438063
2025-03-30 1047.297233 1287.742564 1552.412586 1863.014520 2215.165326 2599.739993 3049.147612
2025-04-06 937.556626 1203.106088 1503.606743 1864.944509 2283.725911 2750.033736 3304.656119
2025-04-13 813.812424 1089.594771 1410.263329 1804.977149 2272.028103 2801.537291 3441.575858
2025-04-20 774.373744 1071.747098 1424.849236 1867.266442 2398.931899 3009.743424 3756.770907
2025-04-27 726.142281 1038.401220 1416.851376 1899.187346 2487.401475 3171.636546 4017.630237
2025-05-04 668.076105 988.004047 1383.912850 1897.197446 2532.310640 3280.138804 4214.569790
2025-05-11 611.153596 934.840045 1343.786785 1882.922923 2559.455623 3365.371640 4382.507952
2025-05-18 571.980967 902.182630 1327.220148 1895.957855 2618.480054 3487.918115 4594.720197
2025-05-25 527.363449 859.086971 1294.467902 1886.008773 2646.961829 3572.001345 4759.762499
2025-06-01 499.271084 836.837243 1287.491769 1907.912936 2714.597528 3703.712642 4982.976162
2025-06-08 456.122756 791.297331 1247.967462 1886.538310 2727.259404 3768.444156 5126.312716
2025-06-15 439.822288 783.469646 1259.000859 1931.774291 2825.796789 3941.174697 5404.712685
2025-06-22 413.578267 759.182979 1245.846330 1943.397135 2879.896154 4057.724986 5613.515976
2025-06-29 386.368092 731.615473 1226.554908 1945.385512 2920.424033 4156.601653 5800.238630
2025-07-06 342.060886 674.675376 1162.715513 1883.592063 2874.212549 4142.857734 5843.552331
2025-07-13 337.686859 680.424528 1189.418405 1947.777800 2996.815389 4347.111542 6164.721000
2025-07-20 324.838505 671.626732 1194.132449 1980.663296 3077.183330 4497.032004 6417.469194
2025-07-27 303.496784 647.492387 1174.904396 1978.613406 3109.465138 4584.066882 6589.810421
2025-08-03 280.467051 618.959006 1147.691514 1963.907995 3123.494706 4646.617362 6730.438238
2025-08-10 265.903186 603.949517 1140.335703 1977.336435 3175.961141 4759.792630 6936.978350
2025-08-17 246.789237 579.652800 1117.469458 1967.087076 3194.802616 4828.015266 7085.047941